Go ahead. Curse me to the high heavens. I deserve it.
The blame should be placed squarely on my shoulders. The intro to week seven dealt with my hesitations about the pace our league was setting. I questioned whether the wins would continue to come as easily. I had severe doubts. Unfortunately for myself and the rest of the league, I was right.
Week seven was by far the most damaging to date. The best record was 8-6, tied by four members, two of which just took all the home teams. The more common sight was 6-8 or 5-9. The good news is the league experienced this together as a whole. No one jumped up from far back, although some ground was made. No one pushed ahead. Standings remained unaltered, except that the league got a nice taste of reality when it comes to ATS.
But that was in the past. We should be looking ahead. We are approaching the half-way point, which usually serves as a filter for the good and mediocre teams. Not so much in 2008. Right now there is one dominant team, the Tennessee Titans. Two playoff locks, the Pittsburgh Steelers and New York Giants. Three train-wrecks, the Detroit Lions, Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs. And everyone else. There is no separation. Can you say with certainty, besides Tennessee and Pittsburgh, who is going to win their division? You can’t.
Maybe Tom Brady is to blame. Perhaps the rash of injuries and suspensions in Dallas. Whatever or whomever the culprit, it has given us a wide-open league with endless Super Bowl possibilities and combinations. The NFL standings have carried over to our pick ‘em league as well. It is tighter than ever.
Lucius, once again, manages to lead the way, but this time he only has a one game lead over second (Justin) and two games over third (Josh). The greatest separation between spots is just a measly two games, meaning we are on the verge of a league shake-up. Time will tell who walks away victorious, but just like with the NFL this year, it should come down to the very last week.
I wouldn’t want it any other way.
QUOTE OF THE WEEK
Quote of the week winner returns, and the honor for week seven goes to … Alex Lucius.
“The only way St. Louis wins this game is if they pickup Ice Box from the Little Giants. Seeing as Ice Box is only 12 years old, I like Dallas.”
He beautifully wove humor with a great 90s movie reference along with his distaste for the Rams, who ended up winning straight-up. Congrats to Lucius, who now has two horses running in the Quote Of The Year derby.
The four members who went 8-6 and earned the best record for week seven were Bart Borer, Devin Frank, Justin Whelan, and Josh Florence. The former two just picked home teams, but it worked out well. Justin has now had at least a share of the league’s best record for three consecutive weeks. Josh meanwhile hasn’t earned this distinction since his remarkable 13-2 week-two run.
Onto the games. There are a tremendous amount of comments, which made this arguably the best post yet to date. Also, Polito flipped a coin for every game, because he says he has no luck in life. I disagree. He was lucky enough NOT to be born a Browns fan. Giddy up.
Oakland @ Baltimore (-7)
Two teams coming off surprising wins. Which one makes it two in a row? I’ll take the home team with the better defense.My Pick: BAL (-7)
Devin: “Defense and run game are back in Baltimore.” If Trent Dilfer was still with us, he would be a proud man.
Kevin: “The NFL did this all wrong. This game should have been moved to next weekend for Halloween. Raiders fans act like it's Halloween every week. ‘The Raven’ is considered one of Edgar Allan Poe's darker poems, often read ON Halloween and was a part of one of the annual ‘Tree-house of Horrors’ episodes of ‘The Simpsons.’ And you can't tell me Al Davis wouldn't serve as a perfect Frankenstein-type monster. Joe Flacco's pale skin means he gets to be a ghost. And Ray Lewis could go as himself; he would just need a knife as a prop.” I figured Kevin would be back sometime soon with a strong e-mail, and he did not disappoint. With the second annual Skywalker’s coming up next week, Kevin is the front runner for the best e-mail of the year. He provided so much material, that he gets two quotes for several games.
Kevin (again): “Side note: Ray Lewis needs to get hurt to retire. Why you ask? He pleaded out of a murder case. One of the last times a high-profile NFL player didn't get convicted for murder charges brought against him was with O.J. Simpson, and look where he is now. If Ray Lewis retires, he should NOT own guns and should NOT go to Vegas. Ever. Period. For his sake. BUT, innocent until proven guilty. You feel that warmth in your heart? Yeah, that's patriotism.” Great minds think alike. On OCR with Devin last year, we talked about our most hated athletes in sports. Ray Lewis was in my top five.
Justin: “Baltimore sits at 13-4 ATS in home games when matching up against bad defenses that allow 5.5+ yds/play since 1992. 28-14 Ravens.” It appears as if Justin is fully entrenched with ATS fever. For some strange and bizarre reason, this excites me. Something tells me this is why I don’t have a girlfriend.
Jake: “Remember the movie the Cable Guy when Jim Carrey gracefully plummets from the satellite and almost kills himself by hitting the receiver, thereby blowing out everyone's signal and not letting anyone see the verdict of the big court case?? I hope someone does that this week so no one has to be forced into watching the Fighting Flaccos play this Cable Guy's team.” This may come as a surprise, but I have never seen that movie. Something tells me I am not missing much.
OAK: Josh, Polito, Bart, Jake
BAL: Lucius, Justin, Brian, Grothaus, Luke, Devin, Braves, Rapking, Kevin, Chewy, Shane, Jeff, Curtis, Sara, Bursa, Barnes
Arizona @ Carolina (-4.5)
All the trends point to the Panthers. My biggest mistake last week was not taking Carolina at home. If they lose, so be it, but I’m done going with my gut.My Pick: CAR (-4.5)
Kevin: “Panthers eat Cardinals. Plus the cardinal is the state bird of Ohio, the site of the OSU-Penn State game this weekend. Panthers are similar to Nittany Lions, so hopefully the group of cats can take down things that stand for the state of Ohio.” Ohio is smack dab in the middle of Big Ten country, but the biggest game of the week is NOT the Ohio State vs. Penn State game. Sorry folks, it is between two undefeated top ten teams. Oklahoma State, ranked sixth, travels to take on the undefeated and undisputed top ranked Texas Longhorns. THIS is the game of the week. Don’t buy into the Ohio State propaganda, some of us are too far into the forest to see the trees.
Kevin (again): “Side note: The colors for the Wisconsin Badgers are cardinal and white. I don't think I've seen a cardinal here yet. I guess all the badgers ate them.” Yes, these are my friends.
Justin: “Carolina is a good team at home and I like them a lot here, but Arizona coming off a bye and not getting any love from the public (10%) is good enough for me to take these points. 28-24 Panthers.” Not me, I will never pick against the Panthers at home for the remainder of the season. I was in love with Carolina at the beginning of the season and I jumped off the bandwagon voluntarily. As President Bush famously stated ...
ARI: Justin, Brian, Braves, Polito, Jeff
CAR: Lucius, Josh Grothaus, Luke, Devin, Rapking, Kevin, Chewy, Shane, Bart, Jake, Curtis, Sara, Bursa, Barnes
Tampa Bay @ Dallas (-3.5)
All of a sudden the Bucs became the more talented team here. The Cowboys are two losses away from firing Wade Phillips and signing Keyshawn Johnson and Daunte Culpepper to multi-year contracts.My Pick: TB (+3.5)
Devin: “Back to my old ways, no confidence going with the win-win.” The line as of Thursday evening is down to -2, which tells me TB is getting the action. Brad Johnson looked miserable against the Rams last week, but who knows if the Bucs are really this good?
Jake: “It's too bad Gruden doesn't get the wild hair to bring back Rob Johnson for a game just to face off against Brad Johnson for Johnson superiority. Johnson superiority ... a game I'm sure Jeff Garcia must beat them all in. I mean, there must be some reason Carmella was willing to marry him...right?” It certainly was not for his looks.
Justin: “With the current line sitting at 1.5 I will take the points and the better team here in Tampa Bay. If Dallas pulls off the win, it’s by a late field goal. 20-17 Bucs.” Everything points to Tampa Bay, which makes me not like my pick so much. People tend to lose when they gamble.
Chewy: “Dallas just makes me angry.” Agreed. Dallas was going to be one of those safe teams. They were going to be one of the elite teams. Now, they might not make the playoffs. Who could have thunk that a month ago.
Kevin: “Wow Dallas, really? I heard a report today (I think it was on 'The Jim Rome Show') that Jerry Jones was at practice ‘working with’ Tony Romo to determine whether the QB would be second or third on the depth chart this week. Someone immediately called in to say that it wouldn't be far fetched to see Jerry Jones running routes since he's now working out with the team.
Not only would Jerry Jones's old ass in a football uniform be hilarious as hell, but it would also make for another great "football memory turned Disney movie like ‘Invincible’ and ‘Remember the Titans.’ I mean seriously, think of the movie trailer:
‘This Friday…’
Jones (playing himself) to Romo (played by Lance Bass): If you won't throw me the damn ball, I'll sign someone who WILL!
‘Owning the team …’
Jones to T.O. (played by Webster Slaughter): A bigger contract? Show me something on the field that I can't do myself!
‘Means owning the field.’
Jones (to a defender he burned after catching a touchdown pass during a game at home): Who put the ‘D’ in Dallas? ... Obviously not you!
‘From the producers of the Financial Crisis …’
John McCain (playing himself): The fundamentals of our economy are strong!
‘Jerry Jones ... Lance Bass ... Webster Slaughter ... and Chuck Norris …’
Chuck Norris, as Special Teams Coordinator (in the team huddle before the game): You know who invented the kickoff return for touchdown? I did. And if you let them think for a second that they did, I'll kill you... Cowboys on 3. 1! 2! 3! COWBOYS!!!
‘Mavericks: The Dallas Cowboys Story’
John Madden (playing himself): Now that there, he's a football owner!
‘Rated PG. In theaters Friday.’
- Fade to Black - ”
Hunt, after I finish up these quick three weeks of school, let’s write a movie/book/TV show/etc. I’m dead serious. Think about it, we have a history of writing grade A material. We created Allan Houston before he actually existed. No lie. I’m willing to go all in. It would be the final puzzle piece of our inevitable journey of becoming George and Jerry from Seinfeld.TB: Justin, Brian, Grothaus, Luke, Braves, Rapking, Kevin, Chewy, Polito, Shane, Jeff, Bart, Jake, Bursa, Barnes
DAL: Lucius, Josh, Devin, Curtis, Sara
Washington (-8.5) @ Detroit
The Redskins don’t blow teams out. They also haven’t faced Detroit yet.My Pick: WAS (-8.5)
KEVIN’S BALLBUSTER PICK OF THE WEEK (3-4): WAS (-8.5)
“It was the top of the fourth in Game One of the World Series. I took the team that was on top (usually the road team) in the fourth game listed. C'mon Clinton Portis.”Devin: “Does Marinelli have a job after this week?” The scary part with this developing story is that the Lions still do not have a GM, yet they already traded Roy Williams, which is without a doubt trumps anything Matt Millen did for Detroit. They can’t fire their coach with no GM. Well, you wouldn’t think so.
Jake: “A lot of people are going with the Lionesses this week, but not me. Why?? Because I don't pick up on trends. And I refuse to believe the Redskins will play a third straight dud.” It seems you pick up on trends Jake; you just don’t seem to follow them.
Justin: “The Redskins have been solid this year, but haven’t destroyed anybody yet. There is no reason Detroit should be in this game, but I see them keeping this one close. This is another game where I will stay away from the public and go with the win-less Lions as things line up well for them. 31-28 Lions.” Justin, I can understand picking the Lions ATS, but to be the straight-up winner? Have you gotten the pleasure to watch any of their games yet this year? The Lions pride themselves on how terrible they are.
WAS: Josh, Brian, Grothaus, Luke, Devin, Braves, Rapking, Kevin, Chewy, Jeff, Curtis, Jake, Sara, Barnes
DET: Lucius, Justin, Polito, Shane, Bart, Bursa
Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami
There is a reason Buffalo, despite a 5-1 record is only favored by fewer than two points. It is because these teams always play close games. Always.My Pick: MIA (+1.5)
MAXINE HUNT PICK OF THE WEEK (0-7): MIA (+1.5)
“She needs some redemption and now has to run with the other Maxine Pick. Maxine Hunt is on the bus. Some Maxines are on the front of the bus. Some Maxines are on the back of the bus. Maxine Hunt is on the bus.
After randomly selecting a ‘straight up pick’ game last week and straight up picking the loser, using her ‘football pick’ method, Maxine is back to random reasons.
She chose the 5th game listed because they were watching ‘V for Vendetta’ at the time (and I'm going to see Saw V tomorrow, coincidence? We'll know Sunday). Then she took the Dolphins because she was by the fish tank (which is by the computer in our basement). ‘To hell with the football guesses.’ she says. Unfortunately Maxine didn't get the memo that they're now the Miami Wildcats.
She's taking MIA this week, and if she starts this year 0-8, the Maxine Hunt Pick of the Week might be M.I.A. for the rest of the year. Is this a threat? Yes it is.”
A few weeks back I made the Cleveland Browns comparison with Maxine Hunt, but now, she has out-paced herself from that reference. The ONLY thing that can even come close to what she is doing would be when the Dallas Mavericks started the 2006-07 season 0-4, which everyone thought was impossible. It should be remembered that the Mavs went on to win the next 12 in a row, and finished the year with a 67-15 record. Just five games behind the all-time record, 72-10 of the1995-96 Bulls (a record that may NEVER be broken).
Justin: “Look for the ‘phins to grab the W in the rain this week. These two clubs have always seemed to play close games in Miami, with the margin of victory being 6.8 in the last 5 contests. (Weather will even these teams out) 17 -14 Dolphins.” Justin is giving everyone a good glimpse at all he looks into before making his picks. 1) Teams ATS records. 2) Where the current line is placed. 3) The weather conditions. 4) Margin of victories and defeats. He deserves to do well. He reminds me of myself from last year. This year I am spending too much time writing this and not doing that.
Jake: “I think Buffalo's defense is better than Baltimore's and Baltimore put a spanking on the Dolphins.” Aw yes, the classic case of Team A beating Team B, but Team C being better than Team A, so Team C will easily beat Team B. My head hurts.
Chewy: “I just like the fact that Ricky Williams is playing football again.” I’m fairly certain Chewy has used this quote before, but regardless, it never gets old.
BUF: Brian, Grothaus, Devin, Braves, Rapking, Polito, Shane, Jeff, Curtis, Jake
MIA: Lucius, Justin, Josh, Luke, Kevin, Chewy, Bart, Sara, Bursa, Barnes
St. Louis @ New England (-7)
Last year this spread would have looked like this: St. Louis @ New England (-33). Just eight weeks in to the 2008 season and we can already begin to appreciate how special that 2007 Pats team was.My Pick: NE (-7)
Devin: “Which NE team shows up?” How about, which St. Louis team shows up?
Chewy: “If they keep running the ball like they did next week look out. They don't even need Tom Brady.” That's what one game against the Denver Broncos will do for a team.
Kevin: “Those were the Pats we all remembered. But don't get me wrong, this is still a tough pick considering what the Rams did to the Cowboys last week. No Rodney Harrison could hurt New England, but I'm just going with the road-home swing for this game (both teams won big at home last week, but the Rams now go on the road).” If the Rams win this game, then in back-to-back weeks they will have defeated the two teams I picked to go to the Super Bowl two months ago. I would have given 1,000-1 odds of this taking place back in August.
Jake: “I heard Tom Brady's not playing this week. Sucks for the Pats. Oh well ... I think they'll bring down the resurgent Big-Horned sheep this week.” Congratulations Jake, you have a QOTW contender.
Justin: “Line opened at 4.5 and now is up to 9 at some places. Give me the Pats and the points here as St. Louis has a beat up Steven Jackson and Matt Cassel has finally found a connection with Moss after three weeks. 31-14 Pats.” Anyone else see where the Rams were denied hiring Jim Haslett if he won six games? The NFL loves to control everything.
STL: Rapking, Polito, Bart, Sara
NE: Lucius, Justin, Josh, Brian, Grothaus, Luke, Devin, Braves, Kevin, Chewy, Shane, Jeff, Curtis, Jake, Bursa, Barnes
San Diego (-3) @ New Orleans @ London @ Wembley Stadium
We are changing up the Mother’s Intuition Pick of the Week. Instead of picking Browns games, Maxine Florence (my mum) is going to pick a game that is particularly troubling me. This week it was the Chargers and Saints playing overseas in London. Both teams have been accurately labeled as “underachievers,” and both need to win this game.Mother’s Intuition Pick Of The Week (0-1): NO (+3)
Maxine went with the Saints because she said the Chargers were not very good this year and felt the Saints should be favored.
Just let it be better than last time.
Bart: “English National Football Team. The Three Lions will win a thriller at Wembley.” This was his ACTUAL pick. He did not pick either the Chargers or the Saints. Bart usually picks the home teams, but since this particular game does not feature one, we will give him the team who gets the ball FIRST in the SECOND HALF. What would Bart’s response to this probably be? Fair enough.
Devin: “That is one nasty flight from SD to London.” It was an ugly game last year between the Giants and the Dolphins. Something tells me the same could happen again this time around.
Chewy: “Well I know like half of the Saints are doping, but half the Chargers probably are too. They just haven't been caught yet.” That’s right Chewy, I almost forgot. Several New Orleans Saints players, including Will Smith and Deuce McCallister failed a drug test recently. That is what one night with Ricky Williams will do to a man.
Jake: “Because, little do people know, Drew Brees actually grew up delivering papers on the streets of this grand old English city (that's how he got his arm), and because the Chargers infuriate me week in and week out.
Side note: Everyone else should pick San Diego because I almost guarantee I'm wrong on this pick.” I love the confidence.
Sara: "Yeah Europe! Bring all the games here! I was 96% going to this game, but then everything fell through and I wound up going to Amsterdam instead! My English friend Dan is going to the game though, boo! According to him the NFL is very big with the Brits! He's a Giants fan, but he said he'd absolutely love to go to a Browns game someday ... woo!" Could this be just the spark Sara needs to get back to the top? Time will tell.
Kevin: “Tampa Bay Rays' Jason Bartlett stole second base while I was typing up these picks. That meant everyone in America gets a free taco from Taco Bell on October 28th between 2 and 6 p.m. local time where you live. No one place was angrier at Bartlett than those at Taco Bell headquarters in Irvine, Calif.
I decided to take the team that played closest to that location, which would be San Diego. It also turns out that the Chargers will be one of two teams playing in the stadium farthest away from Irvine with the showdown in London against the Saints. I hope I'm not getting greedy wanting a free taco AND an ATS win.
I figure as long as I don't tell Taco Bell that my birthday is on November 31, I'll be OK.
This game will also take the cake for number of times I think to myself, ‘You sound like you're from London’ from ‘Forgetting Sarah Marshall.’ But I'm perfectly OK with that.” One of my favorite movie experiences was when Kevin and I saw this movie at the Athens theatre, while sneaking in several cans of beer. The best part was deciding when to crack them open. Sometimes it would be when there was loud music or a sufficient amount of laughter, other times when it was completely silent.
Justin: “San Diego sucks on the road and New Orleans can’t play any defense. I will take the points and question just how SD is going to play this week on the road in another country? 31-28 Saints.” There is very little doubt that the Saints need this game more than the Chargers. 8-8 could very well win the AFC West.
SD: Josh, Brian, Braves, Kevin, Chewy, Polito, Curtis, Sara, Barnes
NO: Lucius, Justin, Grothaus, Luke, Devin, Rapking, Shane, Jeff, Jake, Bursa
Kansas City @ New York Jets (-13)
Two touchdowns might be too much to ask from the Jets, but the Chiefs have no offense whatsoever. Two touchdowns might be ALL it takes for the New York to cover.My Pick: NYJ (-13)
Devin: “Honest Question: What part of the bus is KC on now?” That makes two Herm Edwards “bus” references this week. I hope he lives forever.
Whenever I start to think about Herm Edwards, Jim Mora immediately comes to mind. The “diddily-poo” line always has me cracking up.
Jake: “Favre follows up ‘the most disappointing game of his career’ with another clunker. Meanwhile, his golden image continues to look more and more copperish. I'm starting to think he wants to just send me into a spiral of tears and despair.” Jake, welcome to the life of a regular Cleveland Browns fan. Tears and despair summed it up perfectly.
Justin: “I will continue to take KC and a lot of points because no matter how bad they are, this is the NFL and teams won’t continue to get blown out every week. At least I don’t think. Also, I could see KC back up running backs taking advantage of the opportunity to see the field. 17-7 Jets.” When did Larry Johnson become a handful? Did I miss something?
Chewy: “I am a man of my word.” No one is going to dispute that statement. Chewy “vowed” (pun) never to pick against a team getting double-digit points, unless the Rams or Bengals were involved.
KC: Justin, Josh, Brian, Chewy, Shane, Jake, Bursa, Barnes
NYJ: Lucius, Grothaus, Luke, Devin, Braves, Rapking, Kevin, Polito, Jeff, Curtis, Bart, Sara
Atlanta @ Philadelphia (-9)
I am still not sold on Atlanta and Matt Ryan. Last year it was this line of thinking with the Packers that hurt me, which means the Falcons will probably go all the way to the NFC Championship with me saying, “I’m still not sold on them.”My Pick: PHI (-9)
Devin: “Philly is overrated and that is way too many points.” When did nine become too many points? Remember last year when the Pats were faced with covering 20+ points on the road? We all still picked New England. How times have changed.
Kevin: “Say it with me now ... ‘Bri-an West-brook! Clap, clap, clap clap clap'.” 5-1 odds say Westbrook is out by half-time.
Jake: “The Golden Boy looks awfully good with a rejuvenated line and a Burner in the backfield. Although, I'm pretty sure in real life, an Eagle would tear a Falcon to little bits, and then do it again just because he's bored.” Or because he is trying to cover the spread. Thank you ladies and gentlemen, I’ll be here all night.
Justin: “While I like the Falcons and my gut tells me to take these points, I can’t help but take Philly here knowing that coming off a bye week they are 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS, allowing on average just over 8 points/game. 28-13 Eagles.” Look at those statistics! With this single week alone, Justin has proven to me that he is in it to win it. Also, when I get my podcast up and running, I will be calling him to talk ATS as well. Count it.
ATL: Josh, Brian, Devin, Braves, Rapking, Shane, Jeff, Curtis, Bart, Jake, Barnes
PHI: Lucius, Justin, Grothaus, Luke, Kevin, Chewy, Polito, Sara, Bursa
Cleveland @ Jacksonville (-6.5)
Come on without. Come on within. You have not seen nothing like the Mighty Quinn.My Pick: JAX (-6.5)
Chewy: “Give the ball to Jamal!” Fire Romeo! Fire Phil Savage! Start Brady Quinn! Hire Bill Cowher! I could go on for a while.
Devin: “I heart Romeo. He makes at least one call a game that brings me a bit closer to the end and I'm not even a browns fan.” If anyone has ever heard Derek Anderson talk then you will know that this following formula makes sense. DA + Romeo + Two-minute drill = plane crash waiting to happen. My brother Josh makes quicker decisions on his final exams. Goodness.
Jake: “Can the Brownies stop the run?? Clinton Portis says no, although they still kept the game close. I don't care. I'm betting that two good backs in Jacksonville will give me 6.5, whereas one in Washington could only get me a measly 3.” Clinton Portis is good. So is Maurice Jones-Drew. The Browns have trouble stopping the run. I don’t like where this is going.
Kevin: “Will the Browns win? Maybe not. But they kept it close on the road at Washington and Jacksonville hasn't played in a game this season decided by more than seven points.
Better yet, do you remember the last time the Browns played at Jacksonville? I'll give you a hint, that game came in the same year that Cleveland started 2-4 AND made the playoffs in the same season. 2002. And the Brownies beat the Jags on the road 21-20 that year. Just saying …” The Jags and Browns have always played some interesting ball games. Joe Barrett and myself attended the game in Cleveland the last time these two squads met up. It was Charlie Frye’s first start. Or as I refer to it, the beginning of the end.
Justin: “While the Browns have been disappointing to say the least this year, they are still 14-4 ATS in their last 18 and 8-2 ATS following a loss. Plus, I plan on winning this poll without ever picking against my brown and orange. With Dick Enberg calling the game, look for Lawrence Vickers to convert six third downs and for Donte’ Stallworth to score two touchdowns. Go Browns. 24-21 Browns.” I loathe Dick Enberg. However, with the ever-looming possibility of the Brady Quinn Era getting under way, the question becomes, “Who will call his first TD throw?” My guess is, unfortunately, Dick Enberg. Week 13 at home versus the Colts. Jared and I will be present and my life will be complete.
CLE: Lucius, Justin, Josh, Brian, Rapking, Kevin, Chewy, Polito, Shane, Curtis, Sara
JAX: Grothaus, Luke, Devin, Braves, Jeff, Bart, Jake, Bursa, Barnes
New York Giants @ Pittsburgh (-3)
Super Bowl preview? Naw. Just a couple of teams who will be in the playoffs, nothing more, nothing less.My Pick: PIT (-3)
Kevin: “A wise person once said, ‘When you start betting on your hopes, that's when you're gonna lose.’ Well screw that wise guy.” The betting on your hopes aspect is never more relevant than it is with ATS. Believe it.
Jake: “Because Eli is the new Peyton. Wow ... that's funny to write and to look at. Not quite as funny as watching Josh Febus get a concussion for the Bobcats on a botched field goal though. But anyway ... Eli's not Peyton, but his O-Line will allow him to make plays, whereas Big Ben will probably be sacked seven or eight times.” Those Bobcats are miserable. You can just tell they want this season to be over.
Justin: “In a match-up of 5-1’s I will take the Giants getting 3. Maybe someone will finally rip Hines Ward’s head off? 24-20 Giants.” Spoken like a true Browns fan. Although I must admit, I have always enjoyed Hines Ward. He plays hard, obviously enjoys it, and talks a little smack. Nothing wrong with that.
NYG: Justin, Josh, Brian, Devin, Braves, Kevin, Chewy, Shane, Curtis, Bart, Jake, Sara, Bursa
PIT: Lucius, Grothaus, Luke, Rapking, Polito, Jeff, Barnes
Seattle @ San Francisco (-4.5)
Should I take the points or go with the home team? After considerable thought, I’m going with the 49ers because Lucius has mentioned Alcatraz several times this season. And well, he is in first.My Pick: SF (-4.5)
Justin’s Week Eight Triple-H Candlestick Lock (0-0): San Francisco (-4.5)
“The Niners have been disappointing this year, but the Seahawks have been even worse. 31-14 49’ers.”
San Francisco has been disappointing the last several years and the Seahawks are having open tryouts for wide-receivers and quarter-backs. No prior experience necessary.
Kevin: “Still hate J.T. O'Sullivan. But considering I've never really had a reason, I decided I'd go and search for it. I knew it was subconsciously and mysteriously there, but I couldn't figure it out.
I was really close to clearing him to be honest. According to the always reliable Wikipedia, then Head Coach Mike Nolan even appeared on KNBR's 'Murph and Mac Show' on my 23rd birthday to announce that JTO moved into the lead for the 49ers starting quarterback job.
But then I found my reason. It was instinctive. J.T. stands for John Tremain, similar to the main character of a book with the same title, 'Johnny Tremain' by Esther Forbes that we had to read in grade school. I didn't choose it then and there's no way I'm choosing John Tremain now. Glad that's settled.” Lord did I hate reading that book. Also, from now on, there are two ways a member of this league can reference J.T. O'Sullivan. One, you can call him "the artist formally known as JTO" or you can go with "Johnny Tremain O'Sullivan." Your choice.
Jake: “Because J.T. O'Sullivan is greater than Seneca Wallace. Now ... if William Wallace plays ... it's Seahawks in a rout. And we'll be treated to public indecency for flashing before and after the win.” Wikipedia tells me that there are several William Wallaces and I don’t know which one Jake is talking about. Someone care to fill me in?
SEA: Josh, Brian, Grothaus, Devin, Kevin, Bart, Bursa
SF: Lucius, Justin, Luke, Braves, Rapking, Chewy, Polito, Shane, Jeff, Curtis, Jake, Sara, Barnes
Cincinnati @ Houston (-10)
Ryan Fitzpatrick on the road? Am I really doing this? Who would steal 30 packed lunches?My Pick: CIN (+10)
Devin: “Another team with a lame duck coach but ten points is too much to give to the Texans.” It’s all a matter of how comfortable you are with the favorite.
Kevin: “I think the last time Houston was favored by ten points Earl Campbell was the running back.” Hunt puts up a QOTW nominee. Great stuff, although Warren Moon called me and said he would like a word with you.
Kevin (again): “Also, my apologies about denying the fact that the Texans won a game BEFORE last week. It was a mistake that made myself and KOA look bad. I pledge from here on out to make sure my statements are at least partially accurate before posting them. In fact, there should be a Kevin Hunt level of accuracy. It's not completely accurate, just accurate enough to be funny or made fun of.” Would you believe he is a news producer ladies and gentlemen?
Justin: “A lot of people are on the Bengals and I think I am with them. Give me the points and I’ll hope for the best. This one could go either way. 21-17 Texans.” I wonder what Kevin would think of Justin “hoping” for the best?
Chewy: “It has to happen eventually and why not against a mediocre team like Houston.” That seems to be the common thought process with this game.
CIN: Justin, Josh, Brian, Luke, Devin, Braves, Rapking, Chewy, Bart, Jake, Bursa, Barnes
HOU: Lucius, Grothaus, Kevin, Polito, Shane, Jeff, Curtis, Sara
Indianapolis @ Tennessee (-4)
Biggest game of the week. Enough of the “is Tennessee for real?” talk. They are the best team in football right now. They are healthy, they can run the ball better than anyone, and they have the best defense in the league. Four points at home? You have to pick Tennessee here.My Pick: TEN (-4)
Devin: “I hate Peyton Manning. It’s official.” One of the many memories I have from our initial trip to Las Vegas was Peyton Manning single-handedly ruining Devin’s four team teaser. Devin obviously, does not forget.
Kevin: “This line makes you wonder if the Colts are supposed to break out this week or something. I'm considering pulling the ‘you can't stay undefeated for this long in the NFL’ card (throw out the 2007 Patriots), but the Titans look very good while the Colts struggle with the likes of the Packers.” I tried using that card last week Hunt, didn’t work. I’ve learned my lesson.
Kevin (again): “I should take this time to note that last week, even with the Ballbuster Pick of the Week, I went against the Ken Jones Theory that is simply, 'Back the Pack cause the Pack is Back!' Why did I let myself do this? I'm considering a similar ban as I have with the Browns. From now on I choose my Ballbuster Picks/Maxine Hunt picks randomly from a list of games that doesn't include the Browns or the Packers. Will it help? I sure hope so.” Didn’t he just get done saying screw the ‘betting on your hopes’ guy?
Jake: “Did you see what the Green Bay defense did to Indy last week? Tennessee's defense is much, much better and less injured.” A word of caution. Division games, especially one of this magnitude, tend to be closer than people predict.
Chewy: “I just don't know about the Colts this year, but I don't think the Titans can keep all this winning up.” Proof positive that the Titans might be the most over-looked 6-0 teams in the history of the NFL.
Justin: “Yes, the Titans are unbeaten SU and ATS this year. They also have covered all four games against the Colts dating back to 2004. However, the Colts sit at 6-0 ATS against stellar defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game the past 3 seasons. Something has to give. I’m going to continue to go against Tennessee, as this is a much bigger game for the Colts and their chances of winning another AFC South crown. Give me Peyton and the points. (Colts 5-0 ATS in last 5 Monday night contests) 20-13 Colts.” Justin, I apologize for not giving you a QOTW nominee, but just wait until next week when I hand out some half-way hardware. Well done.
IND: Justin, Josh, Brian, Grothaus, Braves, Rapking, Chewy, Polito, Curtis, Bart, Sara, Barnes
TEN: Lucius, Luke, Devin, Kevin, Shane, Jeff, Jake, Bursa
CHEW ON THIS - VOL. VII. - By: Andrew Reinhart
“Just a little not on my Broncos this week. I predict that we will have our best defensive performance of the season this week.”Well it certainly can’t be any worse than it was last week. That was a bit ridiculous. They made Sammy Morris look like Jim Brown.
PO‘S KNOWLEDGE DROPPING - Week Seven in Review - By: Ryan Polito
Tampa Bay Rays - One of the best stories in MLB history. Turning a last place 2007 season into a 2008 AL championship season. They are the lowest payroll team to ever make the World Series, being 29th in baseball in the payroll category. Joe Maddon is easily the manager of the year this year, and anyone who doesn’t vote for him lives in Boston or New York. As I’m writing this they are tied 1-1 in the World Series with Philly. I’m rooting hard for Tampa Bay to represent baseball as the World Champs.
Least Dominant:
A balloon - This wasn’t just any normal balloon, this was a balloon that pissed off a lot of people last Sunday. During the Bills-Chargers game last week the national anthem was played followed by some idiot on the field releasing hundreds of red, white, and blue balloons into the air. Well all but one of those balloons made it to the heavens above. One red balloon decided to be a hard ass and get stuck in a power unit at the top of the stadium cause a power outage and a massive delay. The game was delayed twice for several minutes and the CBS video power was shot. People in Buffalo and San Diego had no access to their teams game and were instead shown another CBS game that day. All thanks to a red balloon. Hilarious.
Others receiving votes for least dominant:
Fat NFL players - For taking the ‘water pill’ and more than likely being suspended for four games because of it. I’ll probably have more on this story next week because only four players have been named so far. The drug is apparently used to help players lose weight.
Mike Nolan - If you get fired ... you are going on least dominant ... end of story.
Fun Fact of the Week:
I want to regain some credibility here and explain last weeks fun fact about Kellen Winslow. He had staph infection and apparently one of the side effects was the thing I discussed last week. So he did indeed have both sicknesses to deal with in the hospital. Just had to clear that up in case anyone thought I made up what I said last week. Now on to this week’s fun fact ...
- It takes 3,000 cows to supply the NFL with enough leather for a year's supply of footballs.
Thank you. And see you next week. Go Steelers.”
EDITOR'S NOTE:
We all know that Sunday's in the fall are all about NFL football, but let me divert your attention elsewhere at 1 pm EST Sunday on ESPN.
Yeah it's bowling, but hear me out.
Norm Duke is attempting to make history. He is my favorite bowler, and he should be yours as well.
The 2008 PBA season gets underway this week, and similar to tennis, they start with a major. The first tournament is the Denny's World Championship, the first of four majors on the PBA tour. The televised final will consist of four bowlers. The two semi-final matches will determine who battles for the World Championship.
Norm Duke will be one of those four bowlers.
Norm struggled the first half of the 2007 season, and it got so bad he was on the verge of not automatically qualifying for the 2008 tour. However, he turned it around by winning the final two majors, completing the "Career Grand Slam." He is just one of six bowlers to accomplish that feat. If he wins Sunday, he will stand alone in history.
No professional bowler has EVER won three majors in a row, period. If Norm Duke can win two matches Sunday, he can be the first and the ONLY bowler to pull off that tremendous feat.
So, Sunday afternoon when you have the TV on and are checking the scores of the games, flip it over to ESPN and see how Duke is doing. For Pittsburgh, Cleveland and Cincinnati fans, our games don't start until 4 pm EST, so pre-game by watching Duke.
Know this, I will be watching, probably on pins and needles with every throw. Norm Duke is one of my top five favorite sporting figures of all-time. History could be made tomorrow. Don't miss it.
That's all she wrote this week. Thanks to those who got their picks in on time. Justin, Jake, Kevin, Polito, Devin, and Chewy, thanks for another solid week of comments. The more of those, the better the blog. The work is appreciated.
Until next time, "read it, roll it, hole it." Go Norm Duke!
3 comments:
STANDINGS AFTER SUNDAYS GAMES:
1) Lucius 71-44 (9-4)
1) Justin 71-44 (10-3)
3) Josh 67-48 (7-6)
4) Brian 65-50 (7-6)
5) Grothaus 62-53 (6-7)
5) Devin 62-53 (6-7)
5) Kevin 62-53 (8-5)
8) Luke 61-54 (5-8)
8) Shane 61-54 (8-5)
10) Chewy 60-55 (7-6)
11) Braves 59-56 (4-9)
11) Rapking 59-56 (4-9)
11) Polito 59-56 (6-7)
14) Jeff 58-57 (5-8)
15) Sara 57-58 (8-5)
16) Curtis 56-59 (5-8)
16) Bursa 56-59 (9-4)
18) Bart 55-60 (5-8)
19) Jake 53-62 (4-9)
20) Barnes 50-65 (4-9)
Chewy, it took me until now to realize how sarcastic your Chew On This section was. I was trying to think of Denver's score today to see if your prediction came true, and it wasn't until then did I realize they were on a bye. Wow, good stuff.
Its only goo because it is true. We need a new ILB and some decent safeties really bad, and it shows. We should call John Lynch up just in case he has kept himself in shape, and installing 3 new defenses in 3 years has taken its toll on our overall quality lineup. The season is not helpless though because the rest of the AFC West blows too, and after the bye week with some players getting healthy and refocusing, I think our offense should be back on track.
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